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6 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Claude
ab086e422b
Set sim speed to 90:1 (1s wall = 90s sim) across all specs 
Grounded ratio based on ABIDES/ECMWF benchmarks. Single global clock
shared by all horizons. Wall time for full window: hourly ~40s,
daily ~16min, weekly ~1.9hr, monthly ~8.3hr, annual ~4.2d, 5yr ~20.8d.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-13 23:18:24 +00:00
Claude
e40210f570
Dial down sim speed for longer horizons (monthly/annual/5yr) 
Hourly–weekly: full window in ≤1 wall-second (3600:1 to 604800:1).
Monthly: daily ticks, 30s wall for full window.
Annual: weekly ticks, ~52s wall.
5-year: monthly ticks, ~60s wall.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-13 21:55:24 +00:00
Claude
78eaa01a70
Fix sim speed: per-horizon rates, 1s wall = 1 full window per horizon 
Hourly 3600:1, daily 86400:1, weekly 604800:1, monthly 2.6M:1,
annual 31.5M:1, 5-year 158M:1. Each horizon tick-advances at the
speed needed to cover its full prediction window in 1 wall-second.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-13 21:53:19 +00:00
Claude
b196e45458
Fix 360:1 semantics: tick-advanced continuous, 1s wall = 1h sim 
All sims advance every tick continuously. The 360:1 floor means the
slowest system produces 1 simulated hour per 1 wall-clock second.
Updated hub cadence table and all sub-spec references.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-13 21:52:23 +00:00
Claude
1da2fa19c6
Enrich M3 sim sub-specs with 11 discovered frameworks and 360:1 minimum speed 
- M3 hub: add L3 invariant (360:1 minimum sim speed), six-horizon time table
- M3a: add Heston stochastic vol, rough volatility (fBM), HMM regime detection,
  DCC-GARCH copula, jump-diffusion; six-horizon mapping
- M3b: add Hegselmann-Krause bounded confidence, complex contagion, bandit-
  replicator hybrid, MFG (HJB+FP), pump-and-dump 3-type ABM; six-horizon mapping
- M3c: add six-horizon time table
- M3d: add Kolokoltsov adversarial (non-linear FP + WENO), DSMFG bilevel
  optimization, cross-chain adversarial arbitrage; six-horizon mapping
- M3e: add kinked lending rate model, DeXposure inter-protocol credit network,
  composable yield optimizer; six-horizon mapping
- M3f: add MFG for validator populations, six-horizon time table
- M3g: add Almgren-Chriss optimal execution, six-horizon mapping
- CLAUDE.md: add subagent productivity note

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-13 21:29:38 +00:00
Claude
98a6f9a0b1
Rewrite M-series: crypto trading engine + market prediction sims 
The initial M-series specs were wrong (text digestion pipeline). Replaced
with the actual economy organ architecture:

  M0  hub (independent system, scoped autonomy, multi-layered braking)
  M1  Marketplace (multi-trader harness, deterministic law script, veto)
  M2  Data Feeds (RSS + live market, bridges Marketplace ↔ Sims)
  M3  Sims hub + 7 sub-specs (always-running, bounded predictions):
      M3a statistical, M3b sociological, M3c AMM/liquidity,
      M3d MEV/adversarial, M3e tokenomics/macro, M3f consensus/staking,
      M3g market microstructure
  M4  Wallets (sovereign custody, our keys only, 1:1 trader binding)
  M5  Traders (AI actors, wallet-bound, all tool calls monitored)
  M6  Conductor (supervisory AI, veto, pause/investigate, SAE intake)
  M7  SAE monitor (trader surveillance, Brain-compatible message format)

Grounded in AMM invariant mechanics, MEV game theory, SDE tokenomics,
and evolutionary consensus games. Tax stub for Verschwörern Veregeister.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
 2026-07-13 21:10:15 +00:00