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Set sim speed to 90:1 (1s wall = 90s sim) across all specs

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Grounded ratio based on ABIDES/ECMWF benchmarks. Single global clock
shared by all horizons. Wall time for full window: hourly ~40s,
daily ~16min, weekly ~1.9hr, monthly ~8.3hr, annual ~4.2d, 5yr ~20.8d.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Claude
2026-07-13 23:18:24 +00:00
parent e40210f570
commit ab086e422b
6 changed files with 23 additions and 25 deletions
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core/docs/plans/M3f-consensus-staking-sims.md
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@@ -27,7 +27,7 @@ computation. Python, Julia, or R.
$-\partial_t u + H(x, \nabla u) = F(x, m)$, $\partial_t m - \nabla \cdot (m \nabla_p H) = 0$
— captures emergent staking coordination without enumerating every validator; predict slashing
risk, validator set stability, and staking yield across **six concurrent time horizons** at
tick-advanced, ≥ 360:1 (1s wall = 1h sim); produce bounded predictions on consensus health and staking returns.
tick-advanced, 90:1 (1s wall = 90s sim); produce bounded predictions on consensus health and staking returns.
- **Does-not:** validate blocks (this is a simulator); model AMM pools (M3c); model token supply
(M3e — but consumes staking ratio from M3e as input).
@@ -39,7 +39,7 @@ computation. Python, Julia, or R.
equilibrium.
Example: `{ value: 4.2, lower_bound: 3.6, upper_bound: 5.1, confidence: 0.82,
time_horizon: "30d", sim_type: "consensus_staking" }` — annualized staking yield (%).
- **Time-horizon mapping** (all run concurrently, tick-advanced, ≥ 360:1 (1s wall = 1h sim)):
- **Time-horizon mapping** (all run concurrently, tick-advanced, 90:1 (1s wall = 90s sim)):
| Horizon | Primary models | Update cadence |
|---------|---------------|----------------|
| Hourly | Markov chain validator state transitions | Every epoch |