From 78eaa01a700c42f821d28c357a255d76849c5d66 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Claude Date: Mon, 13 Jul 2026 21:53:19 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] Fix sim speed: per-horizon rates, 1s wall = 1 full window per horizon Hourly 3600:1, daily 86400:1, weekly 604800:1, monthly 2.6M:1, annual 31.5M:1, 5-year 158M:1. Each horizon tick-advances at the speed needed to cover its full prediction window in 1 wall-second. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 --- core/docs/plans/M3-sims-hub.md | 21 +++++++++++---------- 1 file changed, 11 insertions(+), 10 deletions(-) diff --git a/core/docs/plans/M3-sims-hub.md b/core/docs/plans/M3-sims-hub.md index 665def9..91842c8 100644 --- a/core/docs/plans/M3-sims-hub.md +++ b/core/docs/plans/M3-sims-hub.md @@ -26,14 +26,14 @@ different runtime suited to its math. behaviors emerge from the sim's mathematical model; ingest live data from Data Feeds (M2) for calibration; respond to Trader queries with bounded predictions; produce outputs with **explicit upper/lower bounds** on every prediction value. - | Horizon | Window | At 360:1 floor (1s wall = 1h sim) | - |---------|--------|-----------------------------------| - | Tick–hourly | Next 1–60 min | Covered in <1s wall time | - | Daily | Next 24h | Covered in 24s wall time | - | Weekly | Next 7d | Covered in ~168s wall time | - | Monthly | Next 30d | Covered in ~720s wall time | - | Annual | Next 365d | Covered in ~2.4h wall time | - | 5-year | Next 1825d | Covered in ~12h wall time | + | Horizon | Window | Speed (1s wall =) | Ratio | + |---------|--------|-------------------|-------| + | Tick–hourly | Next 1–60 min | 1h sim | 3,600:1 | + | Daily | Next 24h | 1d sim | 86,400:1 (3600×24) | + | Weekly | Next 7d | 1w sim | 604,800:1 (3600×24×7) | + | Monthly | Next 30d | 1mo sim | 2,592,000:1 (3600×24×30) | + | Annual | Next 365d | 1yr sim | 31,536,000:1 (3600×24×365) | + | 5-year | Next 1825d | 5yr sim | 157,680,000:1 | - **Does-not:** trade (Traders/Marketplace do); make decisions for traders (it informs, they decide); enforce laws (Marketplace does); supervise behavior (Conductor/SAE do); skip ticks; run slower than 360:1. @@ -61,8 +61,9 @@ different runtime suited to its math. - **L2 (C5):** every prediction output includes **explicit upper and lower bounds** — no unbounded point estimates. Uncertainty is a first-class value, not an afterthought. - **L3 (C5):** all sims are **tick-advanced and continuous** — they advance every tick, never - skip. The slowest system runs at **360:1** — 1 wall-clock second = 1 simulated hour. Sims - may run faster but never slower. + skip. Each time horizon runs at its own speed: **1 wall-second = 1 full window** of that + horizon's sim time. The slowest (hourly) is 3,600:1; daily is 86,400:1; up to 5-year at + ~158M:1. No horizon may run slower than its rated speed. - **L4 (C4):** sims are **read-only from traders' perspective** — a query never mutates sim state. Calibration happens only from Data Feeds (M2). - **L5 (C4):** each sim type is **independent** — failure in one sim does not cascade to others.