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Address PR #13 review: 18 comments across M0-M3g specs
M0: economy organ stores local memory ledger; M6 supervises M5
directly, M7 is independent antivirus/guarddog alerting M6 via
Ichor; Ada dependency reframed to economy scope; build sequence
changed to subcomponent-first with ablative tests.
M1: submit_action returns {succeeded|failed}, diagnostics internal
to Conductor; stubs now print "if finished, would respond with..."
for debugging; law script changes require operator + Homunculus
signatures; law script format added as open item.
M2: removed Python/Rust from language options; confidence scale
changed to [0.0, 10.0] per position.
M3 hub: normalized all time horizons to ~40s wall time windows;
confidence scale 0.00-10.00 with "X.XX/10.00" print format; gain
rates as "low - mid - high / 10.00"; removed Python from language
list across all sub-specs (M3a-M3g).
M3a: Julia/R/Fortran/Octave replaces Python; fBM citation added
(Hosking 1984, Wood & Chan 1994); confidence/correctness/certainty
distinguished as 3 separate metrics; models span multiple horizons.
M3b: models span multiple horizons note added; Mesa/Python removed.
M3c: Solidity for on-chain precision; Julia/Octave for analytics.
M3d-M3g: Python removed; confidence values updated to 10.0 scale.
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@@ -17,9 +17,9 @@ solvers C3). Crypto pump-and-dump ABM C3 (3-agent protocol validated on historic
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Pop behavioral models C1.
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## 3. Language & location
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TBD · `src/economy/sims/sociological/`. Agent-based modeling frameworks (Mesa/Python, NetLogo,
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or custom). Needs efficient population iteration, strategy mutation, PDE solvers for MFG
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(HJB + Fokker-Planck), and bandit algorithms (UCB/Thompson).
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TBD · `src/economy/sims/sociological/`. Agent-based modeling frameworks (NetLogo, or custom).
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Needs efficient population iteration, strategy mutation, PDE solvers for MFG (HJB +
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Fokker-Planck), and bandit algorithms (UCB/Thompson). Julia, R, or Fortran.
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## 4. Does / does-not
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- **Does:** simulate populations of behavioral archetypes competing in a market; apply
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@@ -59,14 +59,16 @@ or custom). Needs efficient population iteration, strategy mutation, PDE solvers
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| Annual | Long-run evolutionary stable strategies (ESS) | Monthly roll |
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| 5-year | MFG stationary equilibria, structural population shifts | Quarterly roll |
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- Examples:
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`{ value: 7.3, lower_bound: 5.0, upper_bound: 9.1, confidence: 0.68,
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`{ value: 7.3, lower_bound: 5.0, upper_bound: 9.1, confidence: 6.80,
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time_horizon: "12h", sim_type: "sociological" }` — herd-panic index (0–10).
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`{ value: 0.42, lower_bound: 0.31, upper_bound: 0.55, confidence: 0.72,
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`{ value: 0.42, lower_bound: 0.31, upper_bound: 0.55, confidence: 7.20,
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time_horizon: "1w", sim_type: "sociological" }` — fraction of pops in "contrarian" strategy.
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`{ value: "promotion", lower_bound: null, upper_bound: null, confidence: 0.61,
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`{ value: "promotion", lower_bound: null, upper_bound: null, confidence: 6.10,
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time_horizon: "current", sim_type: "sociological" }` — pump-and-dump phase detection.
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`{ value: 0.78, lower_bound: 0.65, upper_bound: 0.88, confidence: 0.70,
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`{ value: 0.78, lower_bound: 0.65, upper_bound: 0.88, confidence: 7.00,
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time_horizon: "30d", sim_type: "sociological" }` — MFG equilibrium stability index.
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Models span multiple horizons — e.g. replicator dynamics runs hourly through annual; MFG
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produces weekly equilibria and 5-year stationary states. The table shows primary assignments.
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- **Prediction types:** `sentiment_index`, `herd_threshold`, `strategy_distribution`,
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`cascade_probability`, `coordination_stability`, `opinion_cluster_count`,
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`pump_dump_phase`, `mfg_equilibrium_stability`, `narrative_regime`.
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